Torch: Axis Mar II 43
After I posted my last entry for the Axis, Alan came out and said that he destroyed Rommel’s forces because he knew I could not replace them.
For the record, the 21st Panzer Division is now sitting in Bizerte, along with an infantry replacement point, awaiting the arrival of the 15th Panzer Division.
I went through my replacement pool and scrapped mostly airborne units, because they cannot be replaced. I take a hit VP-wise, but that’s okay. We are having a slight disagreement about how the VPs are allocated in this case. I don’t think they should be subject to double jeopardy, but that’s just me. (We really haven’t had that many rule disagreements over the course of play)
I also replaced an Italian armored division, which I probably shouldn’t have, because they are stuck in Sicily. I probably should have banked the RPs, but I think it is 6 one way, half a dozen the other. I don’t get VPs for having the RPs banked, but using them costs him VPs as well.
The forces sitting in Bizerte are as follows:
12-10 Panzer XX (10th)
9-10 Panzer XX (21st)
4-6 Italian Infantry XX (1st)
3-10 motorized heavy AA III (HG/6 points AA)
2 x 2-10 motorized heavy AA III (55th & 102nd/4 points AA each)
4-5-8 artillery III (2 Afr)
4-5-8 motorized artillery III (1 Afr)
For a total defense of 42 DF.
I have to sit and recalculate how the Allies are going to attack.
The best attack force the Allies can come up with, without triggering ATEC penalties (Bizerte is fortified, so he needs to keep his armor ratio down below 1/2, or in this case, a maximum of 11 REs/24) is 104. This means that he already has a 2:1 combat ratio locked in. In order to obtain a 3:1 ratio, he has to successfully get 22 points of ground support overhead, which I think is highly unlikely. I am assuming at this point, that he will have a 2:1 ratio.
Of course, he may also throw his OSS Sage battalion into the fray in order to offset the -1 DRM of the fort. This would reduce his attack force to 100 AF, still good enough for a 2:1, but requiring more aircraft be able to survive the AA.
Of course, if his initial attack fails, his commando unit =goes by by, and he is stuck with the -1 DRM.
While he is busy rearranging the deck chairs, he will likely attack the weak, lonely Italian units at Sousse. He is angling to maximize victory points. I would have ignored them in favor of concentrating on Bizerte, but I’m not in charge of his army. If I was, I would have had the whole fleet pack up and go back home.
Axis VPs stand at 60, and the Allies have 29.
I am getting excited that he may attack Bizerte soon. I want to see if he can take it. If he does, I want to see an exchange occur.